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AI value bets at Smarkets

Smarkets edges — live, audited, Pinnacle-anchored.

Every value bet on this page was found by comparing Smarkets's offered odds to Pinnacle's fair value. Pre-kickoff logged. Wins and losses both stay visible.

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Smarkets edges live

9

Avg edge

+0.03%

Published today

0

Tax handling

Bookie

How we score Smarkets

Smarkets odds are scraped every four hours and compared against Pinnacle's sharp fair-value model. When an offered price implies a true probability lower than Pinnacle's, the difference is the "edge." We publish only when post-tax edge clears 2%. The track record is public.

Most-covered sports at Smarkets

Live edges at Smarkets

Live edges · 9

Pre-kickoff · audit-logged

WTA French OpenSolidLogged Jun 04, 07:30

Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

Jun 04

13:00

Book odds

2.34

Pinnacle fair

2.28

Edge

+2.6%

Kelly ¼

0.49%

Pinnacle prices away at 2.280 while Smarkets offers 2.340 — a +2.63% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSmallLogged Jun 04, 07:30

Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

Jun 04

15:00

Book odds

2.68

Pinnacle fair

2.62

Edge

+2.3%

Kelly ¼

0.34%

Pinnacle prices away at 2.620 while Smarkets offers 2.680 — a +2.29% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSmallLogged Jun 04, 07:30

Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 05

17:00

Book odds

3.10

Pinnacle fair

3.03

Edge

+2.3%

Kelly ¼

0.27%

Pinnacle prices home at 3.030 while Smarkets offers 3.100 — a +2.31% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSmallLogged Jun 06, 07:30

Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 06

13:00

Book odds

4.40

Pinnacle fair

4.30

Edge

+2.3%

Kelly ¼

0.17%

Pinnacle prices home at 4.300 while Smarkets offers 4.400 — a +2.33% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSolidLogged Jun 06, 07:30

Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 07

13:00

Book odds

4.50

Pinnacle fair

4.34

Edge

+3.7%

Kelly ¼

0.26%

Pinnacle prices home at 4.340 while Smarkets offers 4.500 — a +3.69% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
NHLSolidLogged Jun 08, 07:30

Vegas Golden Knights vs Carolina Hurricanes

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

in 19m

live soon

Book odds

1.98

Pinnacle fair

1.93

Edge

+2.6%

Kelly ¼

0.66%

Pinnacle prices home at 1.930 while Smarkets offers 1.980 — a +2.59% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
FIFA World CupSmallLogged Jun 09, 07:30

Mexico vs South Africa

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 11

19:00

Book odds

1.44

Pinnacle fair

1.41

Edge

+2.1%

Kelly ¼

1.21%

Pinnacle prices home at 1.410 while Smarkets offers 1.440 — a +2.13% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
FIFA World CupSolidLogged Jun 09, 07:30

South Korea vs Czech Republic

1X2 · draw @ Smarkets

Jun 12

02:00

Book odds

3.25

Pinnacle fair

3.14

Edge

+3.5%

Kelly ¼

0.39%

Pinnacle prices draw at 3.140 while Smarkets offers 3.250 — a +3.50% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
FIFA World CupSolidLogged Jun 09, 07:30

South Korea vs Czech Republic

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 12

02:00

Book odds

2.74

Pinnacle fair

2.66

Edge

+3.0%

Kelly ¼

0.43%

Pinnacle prices home at 2.660 while Smarkets offers 2.740 — a +3.01% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

Recently settled · 15

Win + loss · no cherry-picking

NBASolid Won

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

Jun 09

00:40

Book odds

2.16

Pinnacle fair

2.10

Edge

+2.9%

Kelly ¼

0.62%

SettledCLV−4.6%
+1.16u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.100 while Smarkets offers 2.160 — a +2.86% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
NHLSmall Won

Vegas Golden Knights vs Carolina Hurricanes

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 07

00:10

Book odds

1.97

Pinnacle fair

1.93

Edge

+2.1%

Kelly ¼

0.53%

SettledCLV−3.5%
+0.97u

Pinnacle prices home at 1.930 while Smarkets offers 1.970 — a +2.07% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
NBASolid Lost

San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 06

00:40

Book odds

1.48

Pinnacle fair

1.44

Edge

+2.8%

Kelly ¼

1.45%

SettledCLV−2.2%
-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 1.440 while Smarkets offers 1.480 — a +2.78% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
MLBSolid Lost

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 04

01:41

Book odds

2.68

Pinnacle fair

2.61

Edge

+2.7%

Kelly ¼

0.40%

SettledCLV−4.1%
-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 2.610 while Smarkets offers 2.680 — a +2.68% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
NBASolid
Free
Won

San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

Jun 04

00:30

Book odds

2.66

Pinnacle fair

2.56

Edge

+3.9%

Kelly ¼

0.59%

SettledCLV−5.1%
+1.66u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.560 while Smarkets offers 2.660 — a +3.91% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
MLBSmall Won

Los Angeles Angels vs Colorado Rockies

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

Jun 02

01:39

Book odds

2.88

Pinnacle fair

2.82

Edge

+2.1%

Kelly ¼

0.28%

SettledCLV−1.9%
+1.88u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.820 while Smarkets offers 2.880 — a +2.13% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
UEFA Champions LeagueSolid Won

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal

1X2 · draw @ Smarkets

May 30

16:01

Book odds

3.45

Pinnacle fair

3.33

Edge

+3.6%

Kelly ¼

0.37%

SettledCLV−1.8%
+2.45u

Pinnacle prices draw at 3.330 while Smarkets offers 3.450 — a +3.60% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
UEFA Champions LeagueSmall Lost

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

May 30

16:01

Book odds

3.30

Pinnacle fair

3.22

Edge

+2.5%

Kelly ¼

0.27%

SettledCLV−1.5%
-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 3.220 while Smarkets offers 3.300 — a +2.48% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
UEFA Champions LeagueSolid Lost

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

May 30

16:01

Book odds

2.44

Pinnacle fair

2.36

Edge

+3.4%

Kelly ¼

0.59%

SettledCLV−5.7%
-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 2.360 while Smarkets offers 2.440 — a +3.39% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
MLBSmall Lost

Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

May 30

00:11

Book odds

2.10

Pinnacle fair

2.05

Edge

+2.4%

Kelly ¼

0.55%

SettledCLV−3.0%
-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 2.050 while Smarkets offers 2.100 — a +2.44% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
MLBSolid Lost

Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

May 29

23:11

Book odds

2.08

Pinnacle fair

2.02

Edge

+3.0%

Kelly ¼

0.69%

SettledCLV−7.4%
-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.020 while Smarkets offers 2.080 — a +2.97% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
NBASolid Lost

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

May 29

00:40

Book odds

2.42

Pinnacle fair

2.34

Edge

+3.4%

Kelly ¼

0.60%

SettledCLV−5.0%
-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.340 while Smarkets offers 2.420 — a +3.42% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
MLBSmall Won

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

May 27

01:41

Book odds

2.12

Pinnacle fair

2.07

Edge

+2.4%

Kelly ¼

0.54%

SettledCLV+1.1%
+1.12u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.070 while Smarkets offers 2.120 — a +2.42% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
MLBSmall Won

Athletics vs Seattle Mariners

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

May 27

01:41

Book odds

1.92

Pinnacle fair

1.88

Edge

+2.1%

Kelly ¼

0.58%

SettledCLV−8.4%
+0.92u

Pinnacle prices away at 1.880 while Smarkets offers 1.920 — a +2.13% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
NBASolid Lost

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

May 27

00:40

Book odds

2.66

Pinnacle fair

2.57

Edge

+3.5%

Kelly ¼

0.53%

SettledCLV+1.7%
-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.570 while Smarkets offers 2.660 — a +3.50% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

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