We weight starter FIP, bullpen ERA, lineup wRC+, park factors and game-time weather. MLB picks publish only when post-tax edge clears 2% against the closing line.

MLBNPBKBO

Live edges · 12

Pre-kickoff · audit-logged

MLBSolidLogged Jun 06, 07:30

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

O/U · under_8.5 @ Unibet

Jun 06

23:36

Book odds

1.93

Pinnacle fair

1.87

Edge

+3.2%

Kelly ¼

0.86%

Pinnacle prices under_8.5 at 1.870 while Unibet offers 1.930 — a +3.21% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmallLogged Jun 09, 07:30

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks

O/U · over_7.5 @ Unibet

Jun 09

22:41

Book odds

1.92

Pinnacle fair

1.88

Edge

+2.1%

Kelly ¼

0.58%

Pinnacle prices over_7.5 at 1.880 while Unibet offers 1.920 — a +2.13% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmallLogged Jun 09, 07:30

New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals

1X2 · away @ FanDuel

Jun 09

23:11

Book odds

2.14

Pinnacle fair

2.09

Edge

+2.4%

Kelly ¼

0.52%

Pinnacle prices away at 2.090 while FanDuel offers 2.140 — a +2.39% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolidLogged Jun 09, 07:30

Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers

1X2 · home @ Paddy Power

Jun 09

23:41

Book odds

2.10

Pinnacle fair

2.03

Edge

+3.5%

Kelly ¼

0.78%

Pinnacle prices home at 2.030 while Paddy Power offers 2.100 — a +3.45% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmallLogged Jun 09, 07:30

Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers

1X2 · home @ Sportsbet AU

Jun 09

23:41

Book odds

2.08

Pinnacle fair

2.03

Edge

+2.5%

Kelly ¼

0.57%

Pinnacle prices home at 2.030 while Sportsbet AU offers 2.080 — a +2.46% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolidLogged Jun 09, 07:30

Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers

1X2 · home @ FanDuel

Jun 09

23:41

Book odds

2.10

Pinnacle fair

2.03

Edge

+3.5%

Kelly ¼

0.78%

Pinnacle prices home at 2.030 while FanDuel offers 2.100 — a +3.45% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmallLogged Jun 09, 07:30

Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs

1X2 · home @ Betfair

in 40m

live soon

Book odds

2.32

Pinnacle fair

2.27

Edge

+2.2%

Kelly ¼

0.42%

Pinnacle prices home at 2.270 while Betfair offers 2.320 — a +2.20% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmallLogged Jun 09, 07:30

Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs

1X2 · home @ FanDuel

in 40m

live soon

Book odds

2.32

Pinnacle fair

2.27

Edge

+2.2%

Kelly ¼

0.42%

Pinnacle prices home at 2.270 while FanDuel offers 2.320 — a +2.20% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolidLogged Jun 09, 07:30

Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros

O/U · under_8.5 @ FanDuel

in 2h

today

Book odds

1.98

Pinnacle fair

1.93

Edge

+2.6%

Kelly ¼

0.66%

Pinnacle prices under_8.5 at 1.930 while FanDuel offers 1.980 — a +2.59% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolidLogged Jun 09, 07:30

San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds

O/U · under_7.5 @ Unibet

in 2h

today

Book odds

1.87

Pinnacle fair

1.82

Edge

+2.8%

Kelly ¼

0.79%

Pinnacle prices under_7.5 at 1.820 while Unibet offers 1.870 — a +2.75% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolidLogged Jun 09, 07:30

Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers

1X2 · away @ FanDuel

in 2h

today

Book odds

1.93

Pinnacle fair

1.88

Edge

+2.7%

Kelly ¼

0.71%

Pinnacle prices away at 1.880 while FanDuel offers 1.930 — a +2.66% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolidLogged Jun 09, 07:30

Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers

O/U · under_12.5 @ Bovada

in 2h

today

Book odds

1.95

Pinnacle fair

1.88

Edge

+3.7%

Kelly ¼

0.98%

Pinnacle prices under_12.5 at 1.880 while Bovada offers 1.950 — a +3.72% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

Recently settled · 38

Win + loss · no cherry-picking

MLBSmall Lost

Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 09

02:06

Book odds

2.48

Pinnacle fair

2.43

Edge

+2.1%

Kelly ¼

0.35%

SettledCLV+4.2%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 2.430 while Betfair offers 2.480 — a +2.06% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros

O/U · over_9 @ Unibet

Jun 09

01:39

Book odds

1.93

Pinnacle fair

1.88

Edge

+2.7%

Kelly ¼

0.71%

SettledCLV−3.3%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices over_9 at 1.880 while Unibet offers 1.930 — a +2.66% mathematical edge after tax.

Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros

O/U · over_9 @ BetMGM

Jun 09

01:39

Book odds

1.95

Pinnacle fair

1.88

Edge

+3.7%

Kelly ¼

0.98%

SettledCLV−3.3%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices over_9 at 1.880 while BetMGM offers 1.950 — a +3.72% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies

O/U · over_7.5 @ FanDuel

Jun 08

23:08

Book odds

2.00

Pinnacle fair

1.93

Edge

+3.6%

Kelly ¼

0.91%

SettledCLV−4.3%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices over_7.5 at 1.930 while FanDuel offers 2.000 — a +3.63% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies

O/U · over_7.5 @ Sportsbet AU

Jun 08

23:08

Book odds

1.98

Pinnacle fair

1.93

Edge

+2.6%

Kelly ¼

0.66%

SettledCLV−4.3%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices over_7.5 at 1.930 while Sportsbet AU offers 1.980 — a +2.59% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

1X2 · away @ William Hill

Jun 08

22:41

Book odds

1.91

Pinnacle fair

1.85

Edge

+3.2%

Kelly ¼

0.89%

SettledCLV−5.6%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 1.850 while William Hill offers 1.910 — a +3.24% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 08

22:41

Book odds

1.95

Pinnacle fair

1.89

Edge

+3.2%

Kelly ¼

0.84%

SettledCLV+3.3%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 1.890 while Betfair offers 1.950 — a +3.17% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

1X2 · away @ Paddy Power

Jun 08

22:41

Book odds

1.90

Pinnacle fair

1.85

Edge

+2.7%

Kelly ¼

0.75%

SettledCLV−5.6%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 1.850 while Paddy Power offers 1.900 — a +2.70% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

1X2 · away @ Betfair

Jun 08

22:41

Book odds

1.91

Pinnacle fair

1.85

Edge

+3.2%

Kelly ¼

0.89%

SettledCLV−5.6%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 1.850 while Betfair offers 1.910 — a +3.24% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBStrong Lost

Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 07

19:11

Book odds

2.66

Pinnacle fair

2.54

Edge

+4.7%

Kelly ¼

0.71%

SettledCLV−6.1%

-2.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 2.540 while Betfair offers 2.660 — a +4.72% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Won

Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 07

18:36

Book odds

1.80

Pinnacle fair

1.74

Edge

+3.5%

Kelly ¼

1.08%

SettledCLV−2.2%

+0.80u

Pinnacle prices home at 1.740 while Betfair offers 1.800 — a +3.45% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmall Won

Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

O/U · over_7.5 @ FanDuel

Jun 07

18:36

Book odds

2.00

Pinnacle fair

1.96

Edge

+2.0%

Kelly ¼

0.51%

SettledCLV−3.3%

+1.00u

Pinnacle prices over_7.5 at 1.960 while FanDuel offers 2.000 — a +2.04% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmall Won

Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

O/U · over_7.5 @ BetMGM

Jun 07

18:36

Book odds

2.00

Pinnacle fair

1.96

Edge

+2.0%

Kelly ¼

0.51%

SettledCLV−3.3%

+1.00u

Pinnacle prices over_7.5 at 1.960 while BetMGM offers 2.000 — a +2.04% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Houston Astros vs Athletics

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 07

18:11

Book odds

2.00

Pinnacle fair

1.95

Edge

+2.6%

Kelly ¼

0.64%

SettledCLV−2.5%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 1.950 while Betfair offers 2.000 — a +2.56% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Won

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White Sox

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 07

17:36

Book odds

1.66

Pinnacle fair

1.61

Edge

+3.1%

Kelly ¼

1.18%

SettledCLV−1.8%

+0.66u

Pinnacle prices home at 1.610 while Betfair offers 1.660 — a +3.11% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmall Lost

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels

1X2 · away @ Betfair

Jun 07

02:11

Book odds

3.90

Pinnacle fair

3.81

Edge

+2.4%

Kelly ¼

0.20%

SettledCLV−9.8%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 3.810 while Betfair offers 3.900 — a +2.36% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 07

01:10

Book odds

3.25

Pinnacle fair

3.15

Edge

+3.2%

Kelly ¼

0.35%

SettledCLV−8.1%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 3.150 while Betfair offers 3.250 — a +3.17% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers

1X2 · home @ Betway

Jun 07

01:10

Book odds

3.25

Pinnacle fair

3.15

Edge

+3.2%

Kelly ¼

0.35%

SettledCLV−8.1%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 3.150 while Betway offers 3.250 — a +3.17% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 06

23:36

Book odds

1.93

Pinnacle fair

1.88

Edge

+2.7%

Kelly ¼

0.71%

SettledCLV−0.9%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 1.880 while Betfair offers 1.930 — a +2.66% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

1X2 · home @ Tipico

Jun 06

23:36

Book odds

1.93

Pinnacle fair

1.88

Edge

+2.7%

Kelly ¼

0.71%

SettledCLV−0.9%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 1.880 while Tipico offers 1.930 — a +2.66% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmall Won

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates

O/U · over_8.5 @ Bovada

Jun 06

20:11

Book odds

2.00

Pinnacle fair

1.96

Edge

+2.0%

Kelly ¼

0.51%

SettledCLV−51.9%

+1.00u

Pinnacle prices over_8.5 at 1.960 while Bovada offers 2.000 — a +2.04% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmall Lost

Houston Astros vs Athletics

1X2 · away @ Betfair

Jun 06

20:11

Book odds

2.04

Pinnacle fair

2.00

Edge

+2.0%

Kelly ¼

0.48%

SettledCLV−6.7%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.000 while Betfair offers 2.040 — a +2.00% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmall Won

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White Sox

1X2 · away @ Betfair

Jun 06

20:06

Book odds

2.20

Pinnacle fair

2.15

Edge

+2.3%

Kelly ¼

0.48%

SettledCLV−4.4%

+1.20u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.150 while Betfair offers 2.200 — a +2.33% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Won

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

O/U · over_9.5 @ Bovada

Jun 06

18:16

Book odds

2.00

Pinnacle fair

1.95

Edge

+2.6%

Kelly ¼

0.64%

SettledCLV−3.3%

+1.00u

Pinnacle prices over_9.5 at 1.950 while Bovada offers 2.000 — a +2.56% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Won

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals

1X2 · away @ Betfair

Jun 06

18:10

Book odds

2.38

Pinnacle fair

2.31

Edge

+3.0%

Kelly ¼

0.55%

SettledCLV−3.3%

+1.38u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.310 while Betfair offers 2.380 — a +3.03% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Won

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners

1X2 · away @ Betfair

Jun 06

17:11

Book odds

1.81

Pinnacle fair

1.76

Edge

+2.8%

Kelly ¼

0.88%

SettledCLV−2.2%

+0.81u

Pinnacle prices away at 1.760 while Betfair offers 1.810 — a +2.84% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 06

00:41

Book odds

2.42

Pinnacle fair

2.36

Edge

+2.5%

Kelly ¼

0.45%

SettledCLV−1.9%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 2.360 while Betfair offers 2.420 — a +2.54% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

1X2 · away @ Betfair

Jun 06

00:16

Book odds

1.80

Pinnacle fair

1.75

Edge

+2.9%

Kelly ¼

0.89%

SettledCLV−5.2%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 1.750 while Betfair offers 1.800 — a +2.86% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

1X2 · away @ Betfair

Jun 05

01:41

Book odds

1.77

Pinnacle fair

1.71

Edge

+3.5%

Kelly ¼

1.14%

SettledCLV−4.4%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 1.710 while Betfair offers 1.770 — a +3.51% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmall Lost

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

1X2 · away @ TAB AU

Jun 05

01:41

Book odds

1.75

Pinnacle fair

1.71

Edge

+2.3%

Kelly ¼

0.78%

SettledCLV−4.4%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 1.710 while TAB AU offers 1.750 — a +2.34% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmall Lost

Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 05

00:11

Book odds

1.97

Pinnacle fair

1.93

Edge

+2.1%

Kelly ¼

0.53%

SettledCLV−0.5%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 1.930 while Betfair offers 1.970 — a +2.07% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Won

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 04

17:36

Book odds

1.66

Pinnacle fair

1.61

Edge

+3.1%

Kelly ¼

1.18%

SettledCLV−2.4%

+0.66u

Pinnacle prices home at 1.610 while Betfair offers 1.660 — a +3.11% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres

1X2 · away @ Betfair

Jun 04

17:06

Book odds

2.72

Pinnacle fair

2.65

Edge

+2.6%

Kelly ¼

0.38%

SettledCLV−2.6%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.650 while Betfair offers 2.720 — a +2.64% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSmall Lost

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres

1X2 · away @ Sportsbet AU

Jun 04

17:06

Book odds

2.71

Pinnacle fair

2.65

Edge

+2.3%

Kelly ¼

0.33%

SettledCLV−2.6%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.650 while Sportsbet AU offers 2.710 — a +2.26% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres

1X2 · away @ FanDuel

Jun 04

17:06

Book odds

2.72

Pinnacle fair

2.65

Edge

+2.6%

Kelly ¼

0.38%

SettledCLV−2.6%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices away at 2.650 while FanDuel offers 2.720 — a +2.64% mathematical edge after tax.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 04

01:41

Book odds

2.72

Pinnacle fair

2.61

Edge

+4.2%

Kelly ¼

0.61%

SettledCLV−4.1%

-2.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 2.610 while Betfair offers 2.720 — a +4.21% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 04

01:41

Book odds

2.68

Pinnacle fair

2.61

Edge

+2.7%

Kelly ¼

0.40%

SettledCLV−4.1%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 2.610 while Smarkets offers 2.680 — a +2.68% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

MLBSolid Lost

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

1X2 · home @ FanDuel

Jun 04

01:41

Book odds

2.68

Pinnacle fair

2.61

Edge

+2.7%

Kelly ¼

0.40%

SettledCLV−4.1%

-1.00u

Pinnacle prices home at 2.610 while FanDuel offers 2.680 — a +2.68% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

FAQ

Baseball questions

Why does BetEdge focus on starting pitcher FIP for MLB picks?

Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) isolates what a pitcher actually controls — strikeouts, walks and home runs — from the defensive performance behind them. ERA can be inflated by bad defence or deflated by good defence. FIP is a more stable predictor of future starts, making it a stronger input for fair-odds computation than ERA alone.

How do park factors affect BetEdge MLB picks?

MLB stadiums vary enormously in run-scoring environments. Coors Field in Denver (high altitude, thin air) plays as one of the highest-scoring parks in baseball; Petco Park in San Diego suppresses offense. We apply park-factor adjustments to both team offensive ratings and total-runs lines before comparing against Pinnacle's closing line.

Does BetEdge consider the 162-game MLB season in its picks?

The 162-game season means teams manage pitching rotations carefully, with planned off-days, bullpen games and opener strategies. We track pitching usage patterns and days of rest to identify when a team is likely to use a bullpen-heavy approach — which carries different run-expectation profiles than a true ace start.

How does BetEdge handle MLB run-line picks?

The run line in MLB is the equivalent of the point spread — typically -1.5 for the favourite, +1.5 for the underdog. Because baseball is lower-scoring than basketball or football, the run line produces very different payout structures than the moneyline. We evaluate run-line picks on their own expected-value merits rather than mechanically converting from moneyline probabilities.

Can I see BetEdge's MLB win rate and ROI?

Yes. Every settled MLB pick is in the public track record on /track-record. You can see MLB-specific ROI, win rate and average edge logged pre-game. We publish the raw figures — including losing periods — with a sample-size disclosure so you can judge the statistical weight of the data.

BetEdge is an analytics and decision-support tool — not a bookmaker and not a tipster service. We don't accept bets or hold funds. For educational and informational purposes only. 18+.

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