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AI Tennis predictions · Pinnacle-anchored

AI tennis predictions for ATP, WTA & Slams

Surface, recent form, head-to-head and serve-hold rates blended into a Pinnacle-anchored fair odds model.

Loading today's pick

How our tennis model works

Tennis is highly model-friendly — we weight Elo on surface, recent service game hold/break rates, fatigue from the previous match and head-to-head priors. A pick goes live only when the post-tax edge exceeds 2%.

ATP TourWTA TourGrand SlamsChallengers

Live edges · 22

Pre-kickoff · audit-logged

WTA French OpenSolidLogged Jun 04, 07:30

Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva

1X2 · away @ Betfair

Jun 04

13:00

Book odds

2.36

Pinnacle fair

2.28

Edge

+3.5%

Kelly ¼

0.65%

Pinnacle prices away at 2.280 while Betfair offers 2.360 — a +3.51% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSolidLogged Jun 04, 07:30

Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

Jun 04

13:00

Book odds

2.34

Pinnacle fair

2.28

Edge

+2.6%

Kelly ¼

0.49%

Pinnacle prices away at 2.280 while Smarkets offers 2.340 — a +2.63% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSolidLogged Jun 04, 07:30

Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva

1X2 · away @ Matchbook

Jun 04

13:00

Book odds

2.36

Pinnacle fair

2.28

Edge

+3.5%

Kelly ¼

0.65%

Pinnacle prices away at 2.280 while Matchbook offers 2.360 — a +3.51% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSmallLogged Jun 04, 07:30

Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

1X2 · away @ Smarkets

Jun 04

15:00

Book odds

2.68

Pinnacle fair

2.62

Edge

+2.3%

Kelly ¼

0.34%

Pinnacle prices away at 2.620 while Smarkets offers 2.680 — a +2.29% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSolidLogged Jun 04, 07:30

Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

1X2 · away @ Betfair

Jun 04

15:00

Book odds

2.70

Pinnacle fair

2.62

Edge

+3.0%

Kelly ¼

0.45%

Pinnacle prices away at 2.620 while Betfair offers 2.700 — a +3.05% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSolidLogged Jun 04, 07:30

Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

1X2 · away @ Matchbook

Jun 04

15:00

Book odds

2.72

Pinnacle fair

2.62

Edge

+3.8%

Kelly ¼

0.55%

Pinnacle prices away at 2.620 while Matchbook offers 2.720 — a +3.82% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSolidLogged Jun 04, 07:30

Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

1X2 · home @ Matchbook

Jun 05

12:30

Book odds

4.40

Pinnacle fair

4.24

Edge

+3.8%

Kelly ¼

0.28%

Pinnacle prices home at 4.240 while Matchbook offers 4.400 — a +3.77% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSolid
Free
Logged Jun 04, 07:30

Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 05

12:30

Book odds

4.40

Pinnacle fair

4.24

Edge

+3.8%

Kelly ¼

0.28%

Pinnacle prices home at 4.240 while Betfair offers 4.400 — a +3.77% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSmallLogged Jun 05, 07:30

Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

1X2 · home @ William Hill

Jun 05

12:30

Book odds

4.00

Pinnacle fair

3.92

Edge

+2.0%

Kelly ¼

0.17%

Pinnacle prices home at 3.920 while William Hill offers 4.000 — a +2.04% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSmallLogged Jun 05, 07:30

Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

1X2 · home @ TAB AU

Jun 05

12:30

Book odds

4.00

Pinnacle fair

3.92

Edge

+2.0%

Kelly ¼

0.17%

Pinnacle prices home at 3.920 while TAB AU offers 4.000 — a +2.04% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSolidLogged Jun 05, 07:30

Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 05

17:00

Book odds

3.20

Pinnacle fair

3.11

Edge

+2.9%

Kelly ¼

0.33%

Pinnacle prices home at 3.110 while Betfair offers 3.200 — a +2.89% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSmallLogged Jun 04, 07:30

Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 05

17:00

Book odds

3.10

Pinnacle fair

3.03

Edge

+2.3%

Kelly ¼

0.27%

Pinnacle prices home at 3.030 while Smarkets offers 3.100 — a +2.31% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSolidLogged Jun 05, 07:30

Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli

1X2 · home @ Matchbook

Jun 05

17:00

Book odds

3.20

Pinnacle fair

3.11

Edge

+2.9%

Kelly ¼

0.33%

Pinnacle prices home at 3.110 while Matchbook offers 3.200 — a +2.89% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSolidLogged Jun 05, 07:30

Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 06

13:00

Book odds

4.40

Pinnacle fair

4.25

Edge

+3.5%

Kelly ¼

0.26%

Pinnacle prices home at 4.250 while Betfair offers 4.400 — a +3.53% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSmallLogged Jun 05, 07:30

Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

1X2 · home @ DraftKings

Jun 06

13:00

Book odds

4.35

Pinnacle fair

4.25

Edge

+2.4%

Kelly ¼

0.18%

Pinnacle prices home at 4.250 while DraftKings offers 4.350 — a +2.35% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSolidLogged Jun 05, 07:30

Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

1X2 · home @ Matchbook

Jun 06

13:00

Book odds

4.40

Pinnacle fair

4.25

Edge

+3.5%

Kelly ¼

0.26%

Pinnacle prices home at 4.250 while Matchbook offers 4.400 — a +3.53% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSmallLogged Jun 06, 07:30

Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 06

13:00

Book odds

4.40

Pinnacle fair

4.30

Edge

+2.3%

Kelly ¼

0.17%

Pinnacle prices home at 4.300 while Smarkets offers 4.400 — a +2.33% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
WTA French OpenSmallLogged Jun 06, 07:30

Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

1X2 · away @ BetMGM

Jun 06

13:00

Book odds

1.29

Pinnacle fair

1.26

Edge

+2.4%

Kelly ¼

2.05%

Pinnacle prices away at 1.260 while BetMGM offers 1.290 — a +2.38% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSolidLogged Jun 06, 07:30

Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

1X2 · away @ William Hill

Jun 07

13:00

Book odds

1.29

Pinnacle fair

1.25

Edge

+3.2%

Kelly ¼

2.76%

Pinnacle prices away at 1.250 while William Hill offers 1.290 — a +3.20% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSolidLogged Jun 06, 07:30

Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

1X2 · home @ Betfair

Jun 07

13:00

Book odds

4.50

Pinnacle fair

4.34

Edge

+3.7%

Kelly ¼

0.26%

Pinnacle prices home at 4.340 while Betfair offers 4.500 — a +3.69% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSolidLogged Jun 06, 07:30

Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

1X2 · home @ Matchbook

Jun 07

13:00

Book odds

4.50

Pinnacle fair

4.34

Edge

+3.7%

Kelly ¼

0.26%

Pinnacle prices home at 4.340 while Matchbook offers 4.500 — a +3.69% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail
ATP French OpenSolidLogged Jun 06, 07:30

Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

1X2 · home @ Smarkets

Jun 07

13:00

Book odds

4.50

Pinnacle fair

4.34

Edge

+3.7%

Kelly ¼

0.26%

Pinnacle prices home at 4.340 while Smarkets offers 4.500 — a +3.69% mathematical edge after tax.

Open detail

FAQ

Tennis questions

How does BetEdge model tennis on different surfaces?
Surface matters enormously in tennis — a player's win rate on clay can differ by 15–20 percentage points from their hard-court rate. We maintain separate Elo ratings per surface (clay, hard, grass) and weight recent surface-specific results more heavily than overall form when computing fair-value odds.
Does BetEdge use serve statistics in tennis picks?
Yes. Service hold rate and break-point conversion are among the most predictive statistics in tennis. A high first-serve percentage against a strong returner tells a very different story than a low first-serve percentage against a weak one. We blend recent serve-hold and return-point-won metrics into the probability estimate alongside Elo and head-to-head history.
How does BetEdge account for fatigue at Grand Slams?
Grand Slam scheduling creates cumulative fatigue effects not visible in straight match records. A player entering the quarterfinal after three five-set matches faces different odds than after three straight-set wins. We log match duration from the previous rounds and apply a fatigue weight to the probability estimate for later rounds.
Are Challenger-level tennis matches covered?
We focus on ATP Tour, WTA Tour and Grand Slams where Pinnacle offers the deepest closing-line liquidity. Challenger events are included selectively where liquidity is sufficient to produce reliable fair-value anchoring. Thinner markets increase anchoring uncertainty and reduce the reliability of edge estimates.
Can I verify tennis pick edge before the match starts?
Yes. Every tennis pick is logged with its edge percentage, Pinnacle reference odds and bookmaker price at the moment of publication — before the match begins. Each pick is recorded before the match and cannot be altered afterwards, giving you a verifiable track record for each pick.

BetEdge is an analytics and decision-support tool — not a bookmaker and not a tipster service. We don't accept bets or hold funds. For educational and informational purposes only. 18+.

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