We sell accurate analysis, not picks.
Every edge BetEdge shows is the gap between the best price on the market and a fair price we compute from the sharpest line available. Here's exactly how that number is made — and how we hold ourselves accountable for it.
From 11 raw price feeds to one fair number
Pull live prices
We poll 11 sportsbooks on every scan, capturing each book's price side by side — the whole board from one moment, not one book at a time.
Anchor to the sharp line
Pinnacle moves on money, not opinion. Its line is the closest thing to the market’s true probability.
Strip the vig
We strip the margin with the bias-corrected Shin method — so longshots aren't over-priced — leaving the no-vig fair odds for each outcome.
Measure the edge
The best price across all books is compared to fair. A positive gap is a +EV edge, ranked and surfaced.
Removing the vig, step by step
A book's two prices always imply more than 100% — that overround is the margin. We convert each price to an implied probability, normalise them back to 100%, and the result is the no-vig fair odds. The edge is simply the best market price measured against that fair number. The numbers below use the simple proportional version of that step; the scanner applies the bias-corrected Shin method to the same two steps.
How we know the model is honest
Calibration
We grade fair probabilities against settled outcomes in an append-only ledger.
Our own CLV, shown in red
Closing-line value is the only honest edge metric. Ours on the retired pick experiment was negative — and we publish it anyway.
Results kept
Every pick is logged before kickoff in an append-only ledger. Wins, losses and mistakes all stay on the record.