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Pinnacle-anchored fair value

Find where the
market is wrong.

We de-vig the sharpest line on the board and rank every book priced off it, live across 11 sports.

Find today's edgesAsk the AI
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Live coverage across the leagues that move money

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueBundesligaLa LigaSerie ANBANFLNHLMLBEuroLeagueATPWTA

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EV, Kelly sizing, fair odds, arbs, hedges, parlays: the same math our edge screen runs, in your hands. No email gate, no paywall on results.

Kelly Calculator

Optimal stake size, or 'no bet'

Devig Calculator

4 methods incl. Shin, fair odds

Arbitrage Calculator

Surebet check + stake split

Hedging Calculator

Lock an equal result both ways

Odds Converter

Decimal · American · Implied

Why we don't chase 90% accuracy

Win rate is vanity. Calibration is the test.

A site claiming 90% accuracy on -300 favorites loses money on every cycle. We don't sell a win rate. We measure whether our probabilities are accurate (calibration) and surface where a book's price diverges from de-vigged fair value. We make no profit claim.

We publish losses.

Every settled result stays on the ledger. Win or lose. You can verify the math, the timestamps, and the model calibration for yourself.

Premium · AI Coach

Every Sunday, Claude reads your bankroll for leaks.

Tilt patterns, loss-chasing clusters, stake-size drift, late-night impulse bets: the AI flags the behaviors that cost you real money. You stay grounded; the math compounds.

  • →Tilt detection (stake spikes after losses)
  • →Loss-chasing + late-night-betting pattern alerts
  • →$-impact estimates per flagged behavior
  • →Weekly review email + dashboard reports
Unlock the Coach

Premium €39.99/mo · 14-day money-back · Cancel anytime

Sample weekly report
Illustrative · not real user data

B+

86/100

Week of May 11 to 17

Discipline holding · Anti-tilt working

16 picks, 14W / 2L, +2.3u net

  • Discipline reward · Quarter-Kelly held on 14/16 picks

    +2.1u

    You stuck to the recommended stake size, and the math compounded across the week.

  • Anti-tilt success · Skipped 2 chase-bets after losses

    +0.7u

    Coach flagged elevated risk-of-tilt; you held off. Estimated saved bankroll: 0.7u.

  • Minor lesson · One late-night impulse pick

    -0.3u

    1 pick placed at 01:42 underperformed. Pattern: late-night bets show 20% lower hit-rate. Sleep first, bet second.

Claude's take

Strong week. You held your stake discipline on almost every pick and skipped the chase-bets after losses, which is exactly where most bankrolls leak. The headline is discipline, not luck. You stuck to Quarter-Kelly, sat out the two tilt-flagged spots, and the one late-night pick was a small, on-pattern lesson. The compounding math does the rest. Keep the same stake-sizing next week. The harder test is holding the line through a losing streak, not a winning one.

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Hours of research, distilled

Without BetEdge

2+ hours per slate

Comparing books, de-vigging odds by hand, computing fair prices, double-checking the math.

With BetEdge

One scrollable feed

We de-vig the market into fair-value probabilities and lay the odds side by side. Refresh and read.

Pick your edge.

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Yearly and Pay-once options available

Free

The live edge scanner: 1 sample +EV edge + 1 arbitrage line, to try it.

€0.00
  • Live +EV scanner: 1 sample edge + 1 arb
  • 1 monthly match analysis
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Pro

The full live scanner: every +EV edge + arbitrage across all books, refreshed every few hours.

€19.99/mo
€0.67/day
  • All Free features ↑
  • 300 monthly match analyses
  • Full live scanner: +EV board + arbitrage, refreshed every few hours
  • Kelly stake calculator
  • What-If bankroll simulator
  • Bankroll tracker: log every bet
  • Instant edge alerts (email)
  • AI Chat: ask anything (Q&A)

Secure Stripe · cancel anytime · 14-day money-back

Premium

Everything in Pro + unlimited AI analyses, AI Coach & tilt detection.

€39.99/mo
€1.33/day
  • All Pro features ↑
  • Full live scanner: +EV board + arbitrage, refreshed every few hours
  • Kelly stake calculator
  • What-If bankroll simulator
  • Bankroll tracker: log every bet
  • Instant edge alerts (email)
  • AI Chat: ask anything (Q&A)
  • Weekly AI Coach reports
  • Tilt detection + injury alerts
  • Unlimited match analyses + chat
  • Cross-book line shopping: 25+ books, all markets

Secure Stripe · cancel anytime · 14-day money-back

From the sharp line to your edge.

We track the market through the day, score every line against Pinnacle's de-vigged fair value, and surface a match the moment the gap clears our threshold. The numbers are pure math; Claude is one question away.

We de-vig the sharpest line

Live odds across the market run through a deterministic engine. We strip the vig off the sharpest book on the board, Pinnacle, into a true fair-value probability, then flag every book you can actually bet that is priced off it. That gap is a measured mispricing. What you do with it is your call.

Ranked by the edge, Claude on demand

Every market is ranked by how far the books stray from fair value: pure signal, straight from the math. Want the why behind a number? Ask Claude. The on-demand analyzer, chat bot, and weekly coach break down any match the moment you ask.

Logged before kickoff, in public

Every call is timestamped before kickoff to a public track record: CLV, wins and losses, all of it on the table. We grade ourselves on calibration. Do our numbers match reality? What you see is what we said, when we said it.

FAQ

Common questions.

What does BetEdge actually do?
BetEdge is a sports-betting research tool. It pulls live odds across the market, de-vigs them against sharp books (Pinnacle plus low-margin exchanges) into fair-value probabilities, and lays the prices side by side. So you can size up any line in seconds instead of building the spreadsheet yourself. It's decision-support, not a tipster: we don't hold funds, accept bets, or promise profit.
Do you promise winning bets or +EV?
No. We sell accurate analysis, not a profit guarantee. We even ran an experiment publishing +EV picks and retired the claim when the data falsified it. For our users the legally-playable market is only a couple of books, which is too thin to reliably beat the closing line. We kept every result visible anyway. See /track-record.
Then how do I know the analysis is any good?
We measure it in public with model calibration: across our settled predictions, when we say an outcome is 40% likely, does it happen about 40% of the time? /track-record shows the calibration curve (predicted vs actual) and a Brier score tested against the base-rate baseline, with a statistical-significance gate. Accuracy you can check, not a win-rate boast.
What's on the track record, then?
Two things, both honest: (1) model calibration, the accuracy metric above; and (2) a clearly-labeled archive of our retired +EV-pick experiment, with every win, loss, and Closing-Line Value, including the negative numbers and the finding that ended it. Logged before kickoff, append-only, nothing deleted or backdated.
What sports and bookmakers are covered?
Actively analyzed: soccer (major leagues), basketball (NBA + WNBA), and baseball (MLB), with more as seasons start. We compare odds across many global books and anchor fair value on Pinnacle. But we're upfront that the legally-playable sportsbooks for a German user are few (e.g. Tipico, Winamax). The fair-value analysis is useful wherever you bet, or even if you don't.
What's the difference between Free and Pro?
Free users see a sample of the analysis with a delay. Pro users get the full live board, the Kelly bankroll tracker, the What-If simulator, and weekly AI Coach insights. Premium unlocks unlimited match analyses, the AI-Chat interface, instant alerts, and the tilt-detection engine.
Why do I see losses and a retired experiment?
Because hiding them is what tipsters do. Our full history (including the +EV experiment we retired and every loss in it) stays public and append-only. Owning a failed thesis, and measuring ourselves on accuracy instead of a profit boast, is the whole point.
Do I need a betting account to use BetEdge?
No. BetEdge is a decision-support tool. We compute fair value and compare odds. Whether you place a bet, paper-trade it, or just study the math is up to you. We don't hold funds and we don't accept bets.
Can I cancel anytime?
Yes. Monthly plans are cancellable in one click from your dashboard, with a 14-day money-back guarantee. No long-term commitment, no cancellation fees.

BetEdge is an analytics and decision-support tool, not a bookmaker and not a tipster service. We don't accept bets or hold funds. For educational and informational purposes only. 18+.

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