Settled
Solid
Key absenceMexico vs South Africa
FIFA World Cup · Thursday, June 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
Match contextAI-analyzed
Recent form (last 5)
Mexico
?????
South Africa
?????
H2H (last 10)
Generating context…
Key absences
Generating context…
LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS
Best prices for home
- Pinnacle1.45—
- Marathonbet1.45OPEN
- Matchbook1.45OPEN
- Betfair1.45OPEN
- Smarkets1.45OPEN
- Ladbrokes1.44OPEN
- Betsson1.44OPEN
- NordicBet1.44OPEN
- Ladbrokes AU1.44OPEN
- Betway1.43OPEN
- DraftKings1.43OPEN
- BetMGM1.43OPEN
- Bovada1.43OPEN
- Winamax1.43—
- TAB AU1.42OPEN
- Betr AU1.42OPEN
- Unibet1.41OPEN
- Tipico1.40OPEN
- William Hill1.40OPEN
- Coral1.40OPEN
- FanDuel1.38OPEN
- Sky Bet1.36OPEN
- Paddy Power1.36OPEN
- Sportsbet AU1.36OPEN
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — home
BookmakerBetfair
Book odds1.4500
Pinnacle anchor1.4100
Fair probability (Pinnacle)70.92%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+2.8%
Edge (post-tax)+2.8%
Kelly fraction (quarter)1.58%
Units (display)1u
Published6/9/26, 7:30 AM
Result
OutcomeWon
Profit (units)+0.45u
Pinnacle closing line1.4500
CLV%-3.88%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at6/11/26, 10:01 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices home at 1.410 while Betfair offers 1.450 — a +2.84% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/9/26, 7:30 AM | pinnacle | h2h | home | 1.4100 | |
| 6/9/26, 7:30 AM | bookmaker | h2h | home | 1.4500 |