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Settled
Solid
Key absence

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal

UEFA Champions League · Saturday, May 30, 2026 at 04:01 PM UTC

Match contextAI-analyzed

Recent form (last 5)

Paris Saint Germain
?????
Arsenal
?????

H2H (last 10)

Generating context…

Key absences

Generating context…

LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS

Best prices for over_2.5

True odds · 2.04
Pick details
MarketOver/Under — over_2.5
BookmakerMatchbook
Book odds2.1000
Pinnacle anchor2.0400
Fair probability (Pinnacle)49.02%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+2.9%
Edge (post-tax)+2.9%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.67%
Units (display)1u
Published5/29/26, 8:14 AM
Result
OutcomeLost
Profit (units)-1.00u
Pinnacle closing line2.0400
CLV%-51.37%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/30/26, 8:01 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)

Pinnacle prices over_2.5 at 2.040 while Matchbook offers 2.100 — a +2.94% mathematical edge after tax.

Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit

pinnacle
bookmaker
Odds snapshots over time per source2.092.072.052.042.10May 29, 08:14 AMMay 29, 08:14 AM

Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.

Odds history (2 snapshots)
TimestampSourceMarketSelectionOddsClosing
5/29/26, 8:14 AMpinnacletotalsover_2.52.0400
5/29/26, 8:14 AMbookmakertotalsover_2.52.1000
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