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Key absence

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins

MLB · Friday, June 12, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC

Match contextAI-analyzed

Recent form (last 5)

Pittsburgh Pirates
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Miami Marlins
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H2H (last 10)

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Key absences

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LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS

Best prices for over_8.5

True odds · 1.94
Pick details
MarketOver/Under — over_8.5
BookmakerBetMGM
Book odds1.9800
Pinnacle anchor1.9400
Fair probability (Pinnacle)51.55%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+2.1%
Edge (post-tax)+2.1%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.53%
Units (display)1u
Published6/12/26, 7:30 AM
Result
OutcomeWon
Profit (units)+0.98u
Pinnacle closing line1.9700
CLV%-4.28%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at6/13/26, 2:01 AM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)

Pinnacle prices over_8.5 at 1.940 while BetMGM offers 1.980 — a +2.06% mathematical edge after tax.

Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit

pinnacle
bookmaker
Odds snapshots over time per source1.971.961.951.941.98Jun 12, 07:30 AMJun 12, 07:30 AM

Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.

Odds history (2 snapshots)
TimestampSourceMarketSelectionOddsClosing
6/12/26, 7:30 AMpinnacletotalsover_8.51.9400
6/12/26, 7:30 AMbookmakertotalsover_8.51.9800
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