Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB · Friday, June 05, 2026 at 12:11 AM UTC

Match contextAI-analyzed

Recent form (last 5)

Houston Astros

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Pittsburgh Pirates

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H2H (last 10)

Generating context…

Key absences

Generating context…

Pick details

Market1X2 (H2H) — home

BookmakerBetfair

Book odds1.9700

Pinnacle anchor1.9300

Fair probability (Pinnacle)51.81%

Anchor sourcepinnacle

Edge (pre-tax)+2.1%

Edge (post-tax)+2.1%

Kelly fraction (quarter)0.53%

Units (display)1u

Published6/4/26, 7:30 AM

Result

OutcomeLost

Profit (units)-1.00u

Pinnacle closing line1.9000

CLV%-0.55%

Closing line statusCaptured

Settled at6/5/26, 4:03 AM

Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)

Pinnacle prices home at 1.930 while Betfair offers 1.970 — a +2.07% mathematical edge after tax.

Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit

pinnacle

bookmaker

Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.

Odds history (2 snapshots)

Timestamp	Source	Market	Selection	Odds	Closing
6/4/26, 7:30 AM	pinnacle	h2h	home	1.9300
6/4/26, 7:30 AM	bookmaker	h2h	home	1.9700