Germany vs Curaçao

FIFA World Cup · Sunday, June 14, 2026 at 05:01 PM UTC

Pick details

Market1X2 (H2H) — away

BookmakerBetfair

Book odds42.0000

Pinnacle anchor41.0000

Fair probability (Pinnacle)2.44%

Anchor sourcepinnacle

Edge (pre-tax)+2.4%

Edge (post-tax)+2.4%

Kelly fraction (quarter)0.01%

Units (display)1u

Published6/14/26, 7:30 AM

Result

OutcomeLost

Profit (units)-1.00u

Pinnacle closing line44.0000

CLV%-23.95%

Closing line statusCaptured

Settled at6/14/26, 8:01 PM

Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)

Pinnacle prices away at 41.000 while Betfair offers 42.000 — a +2.44% mathematical edge after tax.

Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit

pinnacle

bookmaker

Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.

Odds history (2 snapshots)

Timestamp	Source	Market	Selection	Odds	Closing
6/14/26, 7:30 AM	pinnacle	h2h	away	41.0000
6/14/26, 7:30 AM	bookmaker	h2h	away	42.0000