Settled
Free pick
Solid
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur
EPL · Tuesday, May 19, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — draw
BookmakerCoral
Book odds3.8000
Pinnacle anchor3.6600
Fair probability (Pinnacle)27.32%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+3.8%
Edge (post-tax)+3.8%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.34%
Units (display)1u
Published5/18/26, 7:54 AM
Result
OutcomeLost
Profit (units)-1.00u
Pinnacle closing line3.7600
CLV%-5.45%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/20/26, 2:00 AM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices draw at 3.660 while Coral offers 3.800 — a +3.83% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/18/26, 7:54 AM | pinnacle | h2h | draw | 3.6600 | |
| 5/18/26, 7:54 AM | bookmaker | h2h | draw | 3.8000 |