Settled
Strong
Key absenceMexico vs South Africa
FIFA World Cup · Thursday, June 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
Match contextAI-analyzed
Recent form (last 5)
Mexico
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South Africa
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H2H (last 10)
Generating context…
Key absences
Generating context…
LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS
Best prices for away
- Matchbook9.80OPEN
- Betfair9.80OPEN
- Smarkets9.80OPEN
- Betsson9.10OPEN
- NordicBet9.10OPEN
- TAB AU9.00OPEN
- Pinnacle8.75—
- Winamax8.75—
- Sky Bet8.50OPEN
- Paddy Power8.50OPEN
- DraftKings8.50OPEN
- FanDuel8.50OPEN
- Sportsbet AU8.50OPEN
- Marathonbet8.30OPEN
- Tipico8.20OPEN
- Unibet8.00OPEN
- Bovada8.00OPEN
- Betr AU8.00OPEN
- Betway7.50OPEN
- William Hill7.50OPEN
- Ladbrokes7.50OPEN
- Coral7.50OPEN
- BetMGM7.50OPEN
- Ladbrokes AU7.25OPEN
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — away
BookmakerMarathonbet
Book odds9.1000
Pinnacle anchor8.7500
Fair probability (Pinnacle)11.43%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+4.0%
Edge (post-tax)+4.0%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.12%
Units (display)2u
Published6/9/26, 7:30 AM
Result
OutcomeLost
Profit (units)-2.00u
Pinnacle closing line8.7500
CLV%-4.60%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at6/11/26, 10:01 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices away at 8.750 while Marathonbet offers 9.100 — a +4.00% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/9/26, 7:30 AM | pinnacle | h2h | away | 8.7500 | |
| 6/9/26, 7:30 AM | bookmaker | h2h | away | 9.1000 |