Settled
Free pick
Big edge
Key absenceManchester City vs Aston Villa
EPL · Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM UTC
Match contextAI-analyzed
Recent form (last 5)
Manchester City
?????
Aston Villa
?????
H2H (last 10)
Generating context…
Key absences
Generating context…
LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS
Best prices for away
- Mispriced line found — unlock now7.05PREMIUM
- Mispriced line found — unlock now7.02PREMIUM
- Matchbook7.00OPEN
- Betfair7.00OPEN
- SmarketsBest6.80OPEN
- Pinnacle6.51—
- Paddy Power6.50OPEN
- Betsson6.50OPEN
- NordicBet6.50OPEN
- FanDuel6.50OPEN
- Sportsbet AU6.50OPEN
- TAB AU6.50OPEN
- Sky Bet6.25OPEN
- Bovada6.25OPEN
- Betr AU6.25OPEN
- Tipico6.20OPEN
- Marathonbet6.20OPEN
- Unibet6.00OPEN
- DraftKings6.00OPEN
- Betway5.75OPEN
- Ladbrokes5.75OPEN
- Coral5.75OPEN
- BetMGM5.75OPEN
- Ladbrokes AU5.75OPEN
- William Hill4.75OPEN
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — away
BookmakerMatchbook
Book odds7.0000
Pinnacle anchor6.5100
Fair probability (Pinnacle)15.36%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+7.5%
Edge (post-tax)+7.5%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.31%
Units (display)3u
Published5/22/26, 7:49 AM
Result
OutcomeWon
Profit (units)+18.00u
Pinnacle closing line6.5100
CLV%-3.67%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/25/26, 6:11 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices away at 6.510 while Matchbook offers 7.000 — a +7.53% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/22/26, 7:49 AM | pinnacle | h2h | away | 6.5100 | |
| 5/22/26, 7:49 AM | bookmaker | h2h | away | 7.0000 |