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Settled
Small
Key absence

Girona vs Elche CF

La Liga - Spain · Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Match contextAI-analyzed

End-of-season La Liga fixture between mid-table sides with unclear form trajectories makes this a volatile proposition dependent on late-season motivations.

Recent form (last 5)

Girona
?????
Elche CF
?????

H2H (last 10)

Girona wins4
Draws2
Elche CF wins4

Key absences

None flagged for this match.

LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS

Best prices for draw

True odds · 4.01
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — draw
BookmakerBetfair
Book odds4.1000
Pinnacle anchor4.0100
Fair probability (Pinnacle)24.94%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+2.2%
Edge (post-tax)+2.2%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.18%
Units (display)1u
Published5/21/26, 7:49 AM
Result
OutcomeWon
Profit (units)+3.10u
Pinnacle closing line4.0100
CLV%-3.36%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/25/26, 6:11 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)

Pinnacle prices draw at 4.010 while Betfair offers 4.100 — a +2.24% mathematical edge after tax.

Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit

pinnacle
bookmaker
Odds snapshots over time per source4.084.054.034.014.10May 21, 07:49 AMMay 21, 07:49 AM

Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.

Odds history (2 snapshots)
TimestampSourceMarketSelectionOddsClosing
5/21/26, 7:49 AMpinnacleh2hdraw4.0100
5/21/26, 7:49 AMbookmakerh2hdraw4.1000
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