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Settled
Solid
Key absence

Valencia vs Barcelona

La Liga - Spain · Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Match contextAI-analyzed

Barcelona's superior recent head-to-head record and likely stronger squad depth make them favored despite playing away, but Valencia's home advantage and desperation in late May could create value in alternative lines.

Recent form (last 5)

Valencia
?????
Barcelona
?????

H2H (last 10)

Valencia wins3
Draws2
Barcelona wins5

Key absences

None flagged for this match.

LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS

Best prices for home

True odds · 3.65
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — home
BookmakerMarathonbet
Book odds3.7500
Pinnacle anchor3.6500
Fair probability (Pinnacle)27.40%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+2.7%
Edge (post-tax)+2.7%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.25%
Units (display)1u
Published5/21/26, 7:49 AM
Result
OutcomeWon
Profit (units)+2.75u
Pinnacle closing line3.6500
CLV%-3.49%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/25/26, 6:11 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)

Pinnacle prices home at 3.650 while Marathonbet offers 3.750 — a +2.74% mathematical edge after tax.

Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit

pinnacle
bookmaker
Odds snapshots over time per source3.733.703.673.653.75May 21, 07:49 AMMay 21, 07:49 AM

Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.

Odds history (2 snapshots)
TimestampSourceMarketSelectionOddsClosing
5/21/26, 7:49 AMpinnacleh2hhome3.6500
5/21/26, 7:49 AMbookmakerh2hhome3.7500
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