Settled
Strong
Arsenal vs Burnley
EPL · Monday, May 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — away
BookmakerFanDuel
Book odds28.0000
Pinnacle anchor26.4200
Fair probability (Pinnacle)3.79%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+6.0%
Edge (post-tax)+6.0%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.06%
Units (display)2u
Published5/18/26, 7:54 AM
Result
OutcomeLost
Profit (units)-2.00u
Pinnacle closing line26.9100
CLV%-5.01%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/19/26, 2:00 AM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices away at 26.420 while FanDuel offers 28.000 — a +5.98% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/18/26, 7:54 AM | pinnacle | h2h | away | 26.4200 | |
| 5/18/26, 7:54 AM | bookmaker | h2h | away | 28.0000 |