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Settled
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Key absence

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

La Liga - Spain · Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Match contextAI-analyzed

Late-season La Liga fixture between mid-table sides with uncertain form trajectories makes outcome volatile for trading purposes.

Recent form (last 5)

Celta Vigo
?????
Sevilla
?????

H2H (last 10)

Celta Vigo wins3
Draws2
Sevilla wins5

Key absences

None flagged for this match.

LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS

Best prices for home

True odds · 1.76
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — home
BookmakerLadbrokes
Book odds1.8000
Pinnacle anchor1.7600
Fair probability (Pinnacle)56.82%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+2.3%
Edge (post-tax)+2.3%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.71%
Units (display)1u
Published5/21/26, 7:49 AM
Result
OutcomeWon
Profit (units)+0.80u
Pinnacle closing line1.7600
CLV%-3.40%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/25/26, 6:11 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)

Pinnacle prices home at 1.760 while Ladbrokes offers 1.800 — a +2.27% mathematical edge after tax.

Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit

pinnacle
bookmaker
Odds snapshots over time per source1.791.781.771.761.80May 21, 07:49 AMMay 21, 07:49 AM

Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.

Odds history (2 snapshots)
TimestampSourceMarketSelectionOddsClosing
5/21/26, 7:49 AMpinnacleh2hhome1.7600
5/21/26, 7:49 AMbookmakerh2hhome1.8000
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