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Settled
Big edge
Key absence

Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

EPL · Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM UTC

Match contextAI-analyzed

End-of-season fixture (May 24, 2026) likely without high stakes; form volatility and squad rotation make this difficult to predict without current team news.

Recent form (last 5)

Burnley
?????
Wolverhampton Wanderers
?????

H2H (last 10)

Burnley wins3
Draws2
Wolverhampton Wanderers wins5

Key absences

None flagged for this match.

LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS

Best prices for under_2.5

True odds · 2.02
Pick details
MarketOver/Under — under_2.5
BookmakerMatchbook
Book odds2.1600
Pinnacle anchor2.0200
Fair probability (Pinnacle)49.50%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+6.9%
Edge (post-tax)+6.9%
Kelly fraction (quarter)1.49%
Units (display)3u
Published5/22/26, 7:49 AM
Result
OutcomeWon
Profit (units)+3.48u
Pinnacle closing line2.0200
CLV%-51.75%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/25/26, 6:11 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)

Pinnacle prices under_2.5 at 2.020 while Matchbook offers 2.160 — a +6.93% mathematical edge after tax.

Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit

pinnacle
bookmaker
Odds snapshots over time per source2.132.092.052.022.16May 22, 07:49 AMMay 22, 07:49 AM

Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.

Odds history (2 snapshots)
TimestampSourceMarketSelectionOddsClosing
5/22/26, 7:49 AMpinnacletotalsunder_2.52.0200
5/22/26, 7:49 AMbookmakertotalsunder_2.52.1600
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