Settled
Solid
Key absenceManchester City vs Aston Villa
EPL · Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM UTC
Match contextAI-analyzed
Recent form (last 5)
Manchester City
?????
Aston Villa
?????
H2H (last 10)
Generating context…
Key absences
Generating context…
LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS
Best prices for home
- Marathonbet1.47OPEN
- Matchbook1.47OPEN
- Betfair1.47OPEN
- Betsson1.45OPEN
- NordicBet1.45OPEN
- BetMGM1.45OPEN
- Smarkets1.45OPEN
- William Hill1.44OPEN
- Ladbrokes1.44OPEN
- Coral1.44OPEN
- Ladbrokes AU1.44OPEN
- Pinnacle1.43—
- Unibet1.43OPEN
- DraftKings1.43OPEN
- Bovada1.42OPEN
- TAB AU1.42OPEN
- Tipico1.40OPEN
- Betway1.40OPEN
- Sky Bet1.40OPEN
- Paddy Power1.40OPEN
- Sportsbet AU1.40OPEN
- Betr AU1.40OPEN
- FanDuel1.38OPEN
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — home
BookmakerBetfair
Book odds1.4700
Pinnacle anchor1.4300
Fair probability (Pinnacle)69.93%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+2.8%
Edge (post-tax)+2.8%
Kelly fraction (quarter)1.49%
Units (display)1u
Published5/22/26, 7:49 AM
Result
OutcomeLost
Profit (units)-1.00u
Pinnacle closing line1.4300
CLV%-3.67%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/25/26, 6:11 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices home at 1.430 while Betfair offers 1.470 — a +2.80% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/22/26, 7:49 AM | pinnacle | h2h | home | 1.4300 | |
| 5/22/26, 7:49 AM | bookmaker | h2h | home | 1.4700 |