Bournemouth vs Manchester City
EPL · Tuesday, May 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM UTC
Coral's 1.80 on Manchester City away contains a 3.45% positive expected value advantage when compared to Pinnacle's 1.74 fair value consensus, representing a measurable deviation that favors the selection. The 6 cent gap between the two lines exceeds typical vigorish compression and suggests the market has underpriced City's win probability at approximately 57.5%, compared to Pinnacle's implied 57.5%, creating a quantifiable overlay. This edge persists after accounting for tax implications, making the offered odds mathematically superior to the sharp consensus benchmark.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17/26, 10:58 AM | pinnacle | h2h | away | 1.7400 | |
| 5/17/26, 10:58 AM | bookmaker | h2h | away | 1.8000 |