Settled
Strong
Key absenceLazio vs Pisa
Serie A - Italy · Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
Match contextAI-analyzed
May 2026 context unavailable; Lazio as heavy home favourite against promoted/lower-tier Pisa, but late-season fixture positioning and team fatigue merit monitoring for value.
Recent form (last 5)
Lazio
?????
Pisa
?????
H2H (last 10)
Lazio wins7
Draws2
Pisa wins1
Key absences
None flagged for this match.
LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS
Best prices for under_2.5
Pick details
MarketOver/Under — under_2.5
BookmakerWilliam Hill
Book odds2.0500
Pinnacle anchor1.9400
Fair probability (Pinnacle)51.55%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+5.7%
Edge (post-tax)+5.7%
Kelly fraction (quarter)1.35%
Units (display)2u
Published5/21/26, 7:49 AM
Result
OutcomeLost
Profit (units)-2.00u
Pinnacle closing line1.9400
CLV%-51.97%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/25/26, 6:11 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices under_2.5 at 1.940 while William Hill offers 2.050 — a +5.67% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21/26, 7:49 AM | pinnacle | totals | under_2.5 | 1.9400 | |
| 5/21/26, 7:49 AM | bookmaker | totals | under_2.5 | 2.0500 |