Settled
Solid
Key absenceCrystal Palace vs Arsenal
EPL · Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM UTC
Match contextAI-analyzed
Arsenal's significant historical edge in this fixture combined with Palace's home disadvantage in May suggests backing the away side offers value despite high uncertainty around team form three seasons out.
Recent form (last 5)
Crystal Palace
?????
Arsenal
?????
H2H (last 10)
Crystal Palace wins2
Draws2
Arsenal wins6
Key absences
None flagged for this match.
LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS
Best prices for away
- Matchbook1.88OPEN
- Betfair1.88OPEN
- Smarkets1.87OPEN
- William Hill1.83OPEN
- Unibet1.83OPEN
- Marathonbet1.83OPEN
- Betsson1.82OPEN
- NordicBet1.82OPEN
- Pinnacle1.81—
- Ladbrokes1.80OPEN
- Coral1.80OPEN
- Sky Bet1.80OPEN
- DraftKings1.80OPEN
- BetMGM1.80OPEN
- Sportsbet AU1.80OPEN
- Ladbrokes AU1.80OPEN
- TAB AU1.80OPEN
- Betr AU1.80OPEN
- Bovada1.78OPEN
- FanDuel1.77OPEN
- Tipico1.75OPEN
- Betway1.75OPEN
- Paddy Power1.75OPEN
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — away
BookmakerSmarkets
Book odds1.8700
Pinnacle anchor1.8100
Fair probability (Pinnacle)55.25%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+3.3%
Edge (post-tax)+3.3%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.95%
Units (display)1u
Published5/22/26, 7:49 AM
Result
OutcomeWon
Profit (units)+0.87u
Pinnacle closing line1.8100
CLV%-3.55%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/25/26, 6:11 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices away at 1.810 while Smarkets offers 1.870 — a +3.31% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/22/26, 7:49 AM | pinnacle | h2h | away | 1.8100 | |
| 5/22/26, 7:49 AM | bookmaker | h2h | away | 1.8700 |