Settled
Strong
Key absenceCelta Vigo vs Sevilla
La Liga - Spain · Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
Match contextAI-analyzed
Late-season La Liga fixture between mid-table sides with uncertain form trajectories makes outcome volatile for trading purposes.
Recent form (last 5)
Celta Vigo
?????
Sevilla
?????
H2H (last 10)
Celta Vigo wins3
Draws2
Sevilla wins5
Key absences
None flagged for this match.
LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS
Best prices for home
- Marathonbet1.87OPEN
- Matchbook1.84OPEN
- Betfair1.84OPEN
- Smarkets1.83OPEN
- William Hill1.80OPEN
- Ladbrokes1.80OPEN
- Coral1.80OPEN
- Ladbrokes AU1.78OPEN
- BetMGM1.77OPEN
- Pinnacle1.76—
- Tipico1.75OPEN
- Sky Bet1.75OPEN
- Paddy Power1.75OPEN
- Betsson1.75OPEN
- NordicBet1.75OPEN
- Sportsbet AU1.75OPEN
- TAB AU1.75OPEN
- Betr AU1.75OPEN
- Bovada1.74OPEN
- Betway1.73OPEN
- Unibet1.71OPEN
- DraftKings1.71OPEN
- FanDuel1.71OPEN
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — home
BookmakerBetfair
Book odds1.8400
Pinnacle anchor1.7600
Fair probability (Pinnacle)56.82%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+4.5%
Edge (post-tax)+4.5%
Kelly fraction (quarter)1.35%
Units (display)2u
Published5/21/26, 7:49 AM
Result
OutcomeWon
Profit (units)+1.68u
Pinnacle closing line1.7600
CLV%-3.40%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/25/26, 6:11 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices home at 1.760 while Betfair offers 1.840 — a +4.55% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21/26, 7:49 AM | pinnacle | h2h | home | 1.7600 | |
| 5/21/26, 7:49 AM | bookmaker | h2h | home | 1.8400 |