Settled
Strong
Key absenceAlavés vs Rayo Vallecano
La Liga - Spain · Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
Match contextAI-analyzed
Late-season La Liga fixture between mid-table sides with Rayo holding historical advantage; outcome depends heavily on form trajectory into May which is currently unestimated.
Recent form (last 5)
Alavés
?????
Rayo Vallecano
?????
H2H (last 10)
Alavés wins3
Draws2
Rayo Vallecano wins5
Key absences
None flagged for this match.
LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS
Best prices for home
- Matchbook2.48OPEN
- Betfair2.48OPEN
- Smarkets2.46OPEN
- Pinnacle2.38—
- Marathonbet2.36OPEN
- DraftKings2.35OPEN
- Bovada2.34OPEN
- Betsson2.32OPEN
- NordicBet2.32OPEN
- Tipico2.30OPEN
- Betway2.30OPEN
- William Hill2.30OPEN
- Ladbrokes2.30OPEN
- Coral2.30OPEN
- Sky Bet2.30OPEN
- Paddy Power2.30OPEN
- FanDuel2.30OPEN
- Sportsbet AU2.30OPEN
- Ladbrokes AU2.30OPEN
- TAB AU2.30OPEN
- Unibet2.25OPEN
- Betr AU2.25OPEN
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — home
BookmakerBetfair
Book odds2.4800
Pinnacle anchor2.3800
Fair probability (Pinnacle)42.02%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+4.2%
Edge (post-tax)+4.2%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.71%
Units (display)2u
Published5/21/26, 7:49 AM
Result
OutcomeLost
Profit (units)-2.00u
Pinnacle closing line2.3800
CLV%-3.32%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/25/26, 6:11 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices home at 2.380 while Betfair offers 2.480 — a +4.20% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21/26, 7:49 AM | pinnacle | h2h | home | 2.3800 | |
| 5/21/26, 7:49 AM | bookmaker | h2h | home | 2.4800 |