Settled
Big edge
Bournemouth vs Manchester City
EPL · Tuesday, May 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM UTC
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — home
BookmakerMarathonbet
Book odds4.8500
Pinnacle anchor4.5100
Fair probability (Pinnacle)22.17%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+7.5%
Edge (post-tax)+7.5%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.49%
Units (display)3u
Published5/19/26, 8:26 AM
Result
OutcomeLost
Profit (units)-3.00u
Pinnacle closing line4.8700
CLV%-10.35%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/20/26, 2:00 AM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices home at 4.510 while Marathonbet offers 4.850 — a +7.54% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19/26, 8:26 AM | pinnacle | h2h | home | 4.5100 | |
| 5/19/26, 8:26 AM | bookmaker | h2h | home | 4.8500 |