Settled
Big edge
Key absenceEspanyol vs Real Sociedad
La Liga - Spain · Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
Match contextAI-analyzed
Real Sociedad's superior recent head-to-head record and likely Champions League qualification race implications make them slight favorites despite Espanyol's home advantage in this late-season clash.
Recent form (last 5)
Espanyol
?????
Real Sociedad
?????
H2H (last 10)
Espanyol wins3
Draws2
Real Sociedad wins5
Key absences
None flagged for this match.
LIVE ODDS · SCANNED ACROSS ALL BOOKMAKERS
Best prices for away
- Marathonbet3.10OPEN
- Matchbook3.10OPEN
- Smarkets3.10OPEN
- Sky Bet3.00OPEN
- Paddy Power3.00OPEN
- Unibet3.00OPEN
- FanDuel3.00OPEN
- Sportsbet AU3.00OPEN
- Betfair3.00OPEN
- William Hill2.90OPEN
- Coral2.90OPEN
- Pinnacle2.88—
- Betway2.88OPEN
- BetMGM2.88OPEN
- Ladbrokes2.87OPEN
- Tipico2.85OPEN
- Ladbrokes AU2.85OPEN
- Betr AU2.85OPEN
- Bovada2.83OPEN
- Betsson2.82OPEN
- NordicBet2.82OPEN
- DraftKings2.80OPEN
- TAB AU2.80OPEN
Pick details
Market1X2 (H2H) — away
BookmakerMarathonbet
Book odds3.1000
Pinnacle anchor2.8800
Fair probability (Pinnacle)34.72%
Anchor sourcepinnacle
Edge (pre-tax)+7.6%
Edge (post-tax)+7.6%
Kelly fraction (quarter)0.91%
Units (display)3u
Published5/21/26, 7:49 AM
Result
OutcomeLost
Profit (units)-3.00u
Pinnacle closing line2.8800
CLV%-3.34%
Closing line statusCaptured
Settled at5/25/26, 6:11 PM
Reasoning(edge-engine-v1)
Pinnacle prices away at 2.880 while Marathonbet offers 3.100 — a +7.64% mathematical edge after tax.
Odds movement — pre-kickoff audit
pinnacle
bookmaker
Each line is a separate source. Cyan = Pinnacle (the sharp anchor), purple = bookmaker. Dashed reference lines mark the odds at publication. Closing-line markers labeled where captured.
Odds history (2 snapshots)
| Timestamp | Source | Market | Selection | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21/26, 7:49 AM | pinnacle | h2h | away | 2.8800 | |
| 5/21/26, 7:49 AM | bookmaker | h2h | away | 3.1000 |